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Jamie Dupree's Washington Insider

Posted: 9:47 p.m. Monday, Nov. 21, 2011

Super Committee - What's Next 

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By Jamie Dupree

Now that the Super Committee has officially failed to come up with a deficit reduction agreement, let’s try to map out what might be ahead for Congress and the White House on the budget.

The across the board budget savings of $1.2 trillion over ten years kick in when the 2013 Fiscal Year begins on October 1, 2012, but expect the Congress to try to get around some of that, especially when it comes to the defense budget.

“I will not be the armed services chairman who presides over crippling our military,” said panel chair Rep. Buck McKeon (R-CA), who led Republicans in making clear that they will lead the charge to do away with the across the board cuts for the military.

“I will not let these sequestration cuts stand,” said McKeon.

But down at the White House, there was a none-too-subtle message from President Obama.

“I will veto any effort to get rid of those automatic spending cuts to domestic and defense spending,” Mr. Obama told reporters in the White House Briefing Room.

“There will be no easy off ramps on this one. We need to keep the pressure up to compromise -- not turn off the pressure.”

In other words, the President wants a comprehensive deal, which for Democrats must be “balanced” with tax increases and budget cuts, something that Republicans have said they will not accept.

On the flip side, Democrats have made clear they won’t accept changes in entitlement spending demanded by Republicans.

So, this pretty much means there will be an ongoing battle up until the end of next September over how to alter the across-the-board budget changes.

And don’t forget the next deadline after that – when the Bush tax cuts expire at the end of 2012.

Some are already calling on the Congress to vote on the $4 trillion deficit reduction plan from the Gang of Six, or last year’s Simpson-Bowles commission study.

While that could well happen, don’t look for something like that to succeed in between Thanksgiving and Christmas; instead, this debate is likely to seep over into 2012.

Basically, the Congress has ten months – until the end of September 2012 – to figure out something other than the $1.2 trillion in savings split evenly between defense and non-defense spending.

So far, lawmakers haven’t been able to strike a deal.

A year ago, the Simpson-Bowles plan was given the cold shoulder by the White House, even though it had the backing of some Republican budget hawks, who were willing to buck their party and support tax increases as part of a deal.

Now, Democrats want that type of plan, but GOP leaders and Republicans running for the White House don’t seem interested in that type of deal.

In the meantime, the Blame Game rages on, and the Congress is out for Thanksgiving.

In other words, Congress has kicked the can down the road and into the Presidential Election Year.

Some might argue that does not sound like a formula for compromise.

Jamie Dupree

About Jamie Dupree

Jamie Dupree is the Radio News Director of the Washington Bureau of the Cox Media Group and writes the Washington Insider blog.

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